Jin Guanping, Economic Daily: Implement more active and promising macro policies. The article points out that the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9 to analyze and study the economic work in 2025, and put forward "implement more active and promising macro policies" and "strengthen unconventional countercyclical adjustment" in view of the macro policy orientation next year, and clearly implement more active fiscal policies and moderately loose monetary policies. This important deployment has released a clear signal of strengthening macro-control and strong and steady growth. Implementing a "more active" fiscal policy means increasing fiscal countercyclical adjustment and improving the effectiveness of fiscal policy while maintaining policy stability and continuity. "Moderately loose" means that monetary policy will better reflect the supportive stance and orientation, maintain a reasonable and sufficient liquidity, and further reduce the comprehensive financing costs of enterprises and residents.US Treasury Secretary Yellen: It is a pity that the deficit has not been reduced to a greater extent. The outgoing US Treasury Secretary Yellen said that after President-elect Trump nominated Besant as Treasury Secretary, she had a conversation with the successor. Yellen said on Tuesday (December 10) that she introduced the breadth of work and personnel strength of the department to Besant, an experienced hedge fund manager, in a phone call before Thanksgiving. In addition, Yellen also reiterated the warning of undermining the independence of the Federal Reserve and widely imposing tariffs. In addition, she also expressed regret over the financial situation. Yellen also expressed regret that she failed to make more progress in narrowing the fiscal deficit during her tenure. "I'm worried about financial sustainability, and it's a pity that we haven't made more progress," she said. "I think we need to reduce the deficit, especially now that we are in an environment of higher interest rates."The "Debt Bull" was launched, and a number of treasury bonds futures reached new highs. According to the analysis, the downward trend of broad-spectrum interest rates is expected to continue to support the bull market in the bond market. On December 10, 30-year, 10-year, 5-year and 2-year treasury bonds futures all hit record highs. Looking at it for a long time, since the beginning of this year, 30-year treasury bond futures have risen by nearly 16%, 10-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 5%, and 5-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 3%. Analysts pointed out that the logic of broad-spectrum interest rate downward has run through the whole year of 2024, and it is expected to continue to form an important support for the bond market in the long run. The recent market strength is not only an emotional effect at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, but also a blocking point to dredge and guide the overall downward trend of interest rates. Shen Wanhongyuan believes that in the short term, profit-taking behavior may increase after the low interest rate, but this is not the core factor that dominates the market. Shen Wanhongyuan said that the rate cut of policy interest rate in 2025 may not be less than 30 basis points. After the deployment of relevant important meetings at the end of the year, specific policies may be gradually implemented in the first quarter of next year. According to Huaxi Securities, looking forward to 2025, the rate of single RRR cut and interest rate cut of monetary policy may not be less than 50 basis points and 20 basis points (the rate in 2024). (Securities Times)
The quarterly rate of manufacturing activity in New Zealand in the third quarter was -1.2%, and the previous value was 0.60%.The listing in Hong Kong heats up. Many listed companies have started the "A+H" mode, and the policy warm wind is blowing frequently. More and more A-share companies are planning to issue H shares and start the "A+H" dual-capital operation platform mode. According to incomplete statistics, at least seven A-share companies have disclosed plans to issue H-shares this year. Since December alone, Hengrui Pharma, Junsheng Electronics and other listed companies have announced plans to go public in Hong Kong. Previously, Midea Group, SF Holdings and other leading A-share companies have successfully listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. Zhang Shujian, head and managing director of the capital market department of Futeng Capital, believes that the "A+H" model increases the flexibility of listing financing by building a platform for listing in two places, and at the same time introduces international long-term investors, which is conducive to optimizing the shareholder structure. In addition, since the beginning of this year, the China Securities Regulatory Commission and the Exchange have issued relevant policies to support A-share companies to go public in Hong Kong, which has driven this round of "A+H" craze. (SSE)The belief of high dividend has made a comeback. The dividend-themed ETF "gained weight". Recently, the dividend-themed ETF "gained good news frequently". The fund size of Huatai Bairui Dividend ETF and Huatai Bairui Dividend Low Wave ETF, the two largest dividend theme ETFs in the whole market, exceeded the 20 billion yuan and 10 billion yuan mark respectively. Huatai Berry dividend ETF has become the first dividend-themed ETF with a scale of 20 billion in the whole market. In recent years, dividend assets have attracted market attention, and the scale of dividend-themed ETF funds has doubled this year, and it has now exceeded 84 billion yuan. The institution believes that non-bank finance, real estate chain and domestic demand expansion related sectors are expected to have relative returns in the near future, and the investment sentiment in pro-cyclical sectors at the end of the year may improve, the market style may be more balanced, and dividend assets still have the value of bottom allocation. (china securities journal)
The Huangmaohai Cross-sea Passage was opened to traffic today. At 15: 00 on December 11th, Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area's key traffic project, the Huangmaohai Cross-sea Passage, will be put into trial operation, adding another "key level" to Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area's cross-river traffic network. After opening to traffic, the land transit time from Zhuhai to Jiangmen will be shortened from more than one hour to about 30 minutes.Ferrari CEO: It is expected that the company will not face specific challenges under the Trump administration, and the impact of potential tariffs in the United States will be small. If Trump imposes tariffs on European goods, we will consider dealing with it. (Asked if we would consider making cars in America) We will make cars in Maranello.US President Biden made a speech on the latest developments in Syria. US President Biden said that the collapse of the Assad regime is a historic opportunity for the Syrian people, and they can build a better future for their country. This is also a moment full of risks and uncertainties. Biden said: "When we all turn to the next step, the United States will cooperate with our partners and stakeholders in Syria to help them seize the opportunity to manage risks."
Strategy guide
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Strategy guide